Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 985.993611 1121.943326 1275.039624 1461.241258 1682.960274 1940.234326 2263.851202
2025-04-27 783.841167 959.699736 1177.290996 1470.462726 1861.621474 2375.080247 3116.486586
2025-05-04 686.384348 879.948829 1134.299487 1501.011239 2030.030559 2788.479698 4003.150419
2025-05-11 615.371506 817.968090 1097.244602 1522.764716 2178.160148 3192.308933 4975.127464
2025-05-18 572.669608 785.854861 1092.526266 1583.858913 2388.204720 3727.259486 6309.689709
2025-05-25 527.465348 742.961047 1064.073586 1600.767736 2526.687299 4170.924513 7622.025658
2025-06-01 483.959867 696.752526 1023.414224 1589.551836 2612.071307 4535.736167 8901.387401
2025-06-08 447.099351 656.316720 986.156470 1576.925421 2689.996017 4900.999238 10313.882671
2025-06-15 424.128311 635.030518 976.719079 1609.971415 2857.482140 5485.007203 12482.858546
2025-06-22 389.242199 591.059570 924.477550 1557.879418 2847.248369 5684.743559 13748.799709
2025-06-29 360.213709 554.201275 880.595876 1515.320190 2848.506996 5910.239199 15193.084805
2025-07-06 333.740697 519.472954 837.102153 1467.877451 2830.990127 6086.914840 16580.209314
2025-07-13 322.645409 511.055551 841.284500 1518.436555 3047.633553 6933.854419 20766.471077
2025-07-20 307.074768 493.679056 827.698701 1531.896354 3184.947363 7626.641793 24970.499167
2025-07-27 295.359046 482.007865 823.302513 1563.569245 3372.600321 8529.467197 30827.585250
2025-08-03 283.643628 469.290536 815.488712 1586.534862 3543.820788 9451.323018 37749.888512
2025-08-10 277.340153 465.958543 825.549180 1650.872102 3839.877196 10907.580757 49318.067727
2025-08-17 266.693935 453.557911 816.127182 1668.687787 4012.480518 12018.957368 60608.711091
2025-08-24 254.093392 436.465338 795.486489 1656.870644 4097.445074 12847.758114 71446.555622
2025-08-31 242.388384 420.283667 775.312859 1643.568895 4175.947130 13695.193850 84141.687221
2025-09-07 235.706978 413.481779 774.362906 1678.385439 4414.020382 15347.888317 107993.166111
2025-09-14 222.164209 392.118261 740.239063 1623.506892 4349.776585 15617.994507 118740.526161
2025-09-21 210.406801 373.675127 711.166024 1578.689316 4311.376030 16007.318337 132252.034695